WINETASTER ON 04/25/99 WITH 11 JUDGES AND 10 WINES BASED ON RANKS,  IDENT=N   
                       Copyright (c) 1995-99 Richard E. Quandt                  
                                                                                






                                     FLIGHT 1:
                              Number of Judges = 11
                              Number of Wines  = 10


  Identification of the Wine:                   The judges' overall ranking:


  Wine A is J. Saffirio, Barolo 90                        ........  2nd place
  Wine B is R. Voerzio, Brunate, Barolo90                 ........  1st place
  Wine C is Ceretto, Barbaresco, Bricco Asili90           ........  6th place
  Wine D is Gromis, Conteisa cerequio 90                  ........  3rd place
  Wine E is F. Rinaldi&Figli, Barolo90                    ........  4th place
  Wine F is D. Clerico, Ciablot Mentin90                  ........ 10th place
  Wine G is Giacosa, Barbaresco90                         ........  9th place
  Wine H is Gaja, Sperrs90                                ........  5th place
  Wine I is B. Rocca, Rabaja90                            ........  8th place
  Wine J is Borgogno, Brunate90                           ........  7th place


                        The Judges's Rankings


  Judge       Wine ->   A   B   C   D   E   F   G   H   I   J                   
                                                                                
  wolfgang              4.  2.  3.  6.  7.  5.  8.  1.  9. 10.                  
  kai                   3.  1.  4.  2.  6.  9.  7.  5.  8. 10.                  
  edgar                 3.  2.  4.  5.  1. 10.  7.  9.  8.  6.                  
  fabrizio              5. 10.  6.  2.  3.  4.  9.  7.  8.  1.                  
  claude                9. 10.  8.  6.  7.  5.  3.  4.  1.  2.                  
  herbert              10.  9.  8.  7.  4.  5.  6.  1.  2.  3.                  
  helmut                2.  1.  6.  3.  5.  7.  4.  8. 10.  9.                  
  annette               2.  9.  4.  7.  5.  6.  3. 10.  1.  8.                  
  juergen               1.  3.  7.  8.  9.  6.  5.  2.  4. 10.                  
  karl                  3.  1.  6.  2.  7.  8.  9.  5. 10.  4.                  
  bernd                 8.  1.  7.  4.  2.  9. 10.  5.  6.  3.                  


                        Table of Votes Against                                  
                                                                                
              Wine ->   A   B   C   D   E   F   G   H   I   J                   


     Group Ranking ->   2   1   6   3   4  10   9   5   8   7
     Votes Against ->  50  49  63  52  56  74  71  57  67  66


     (11 is the best possible, 110 is the worst)




 Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
 ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):


     W = 0.0720




 The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
 is rather large, 0.6240. Most analysts would say that unless this
 probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
 related.
 We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
 preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
 perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
 while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
 This is measured by the correlation R.


       Correlation Between the Ranks of
 Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others


  Name of Person      Correlation R                                             
                                                                                
  kai                   0.7134                                                  
  Karl                  0.6220                                                  
  edgar                 0.5680                                                  
  helmut                0.5574                                                  
  bernd                 0.3293                                                  
  wolfgang              0.1951                                                  
  juergen               0.0000                                                  
  fabrizio             -0.2796                                                  
  annette              -0.5714                                                  
  herbert              -0.6342                                                  
  claude               -0.7455                                                  
                                                                                
                                                                                




The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.


  1.   ........  1st place    Wine B is R. Voerzio, Brunate, Barolo90     
  2.   ........  2nd place    Wine A is Saffirio, Barolo 90               
  3.   ........  3rd place    Wine D is Gromis, Conteisa cereqiuo 90           
  4.   ........  4th place    Wine E is F. Rinaldi&Figli, Barolo90        
  5.   ........  5th place    Wine H is Gaja, Sperrs                      
  6.   ........  6th place    Wine C is Ceretto, Barbaresc, Bricco Asili90
  7.   ........  7th place    Wine J is Borgogno, Brunate90               
  8.   ........  8th place    Wine I is B. Rocca, Rabaja90                
  9.   ........  9th place    Wine G is Giacosa, Barbaresco90             
 10.   ........ 10th place    Wine F is D. Clerico, Ciablot Mentin90      

   We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
 The Friedman Chi-square value is  7.1256. The probability that this could
 happen by chance is 0.6240

   We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
                                                                                
                           Pairwise Rank Correlations                           
                                                                                
Correlations must exceed in absolute value  0.65 for significance at the 0.05   
level and must exceed  0.56 for significance at the 0.1 level                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
                  wolfgang         kai              edgar                       
                                                                                
wolfgang          1.000            0.673            0.115                       
kai               0.673            1.000            0.588                       
edgar             0.115            0.588            1.000                       
fabrizio         -0.370           -0.285            0.067                       
claude           -0.673           -0.794           -0.721                       
herbert          -0.345           -0.673           -0.588                       
helmut            0.406            0.794            0.648                       
annette          -0.418           -0.176            0.055                       
juergen           0.576            0.394           -0.139                       
karl              0.455            0.697            0.503                       
bernd             0.055            0.297            0.539                       
                                                                                
                  fabrizio         claude           herbert                     
                                                                                
wolfgang         -0.370           -0.673           -0.345                       
kai              -0.285           -0.794           -0.673                       
edgar             0.067           -0.721           -0.588                       
fabrizio          1.000            0.103            0.139                       
claude            0.103            1.000            0.806                       
herbert           0.139            0.806            1.000                       
helmut           -0.200           -0.806           -0.855                       
annette          -0.152            0.127           -0.200                       
juergen          -0.697           -0.236           -0.212                       
karl              0.188           -0.624           -0.515                       
bernd             0.188           -0.236            0.115                       
                                                                                
                  helmut           annette          juergen                     
                                                                                
wolfgang          0.406           -0.418            0.576                       
kai               0.794           -0.176            0.394                       
edgar             0.648            0.055           -0.139                       
fabrizio         -0.200           -0.152           -0.697                       
claude           -0.806            0.127           -0.236                       
herbert          -0.855           -0.200           -0.212                       
helmut            1.000           -0.042            0.261                       
annette          -0.042            1.000            0.127                       
juergen           0.261            0.127            1.000                       
karl              0.600           -0.576            0.091                       
bernd             0.103           -0.576           -0.297                       
                                                                                
                  karl             bernd                                        
                                                                                
wolfgang          0.455            0.055                                        
kai               0.697            0.297                                        
edgar             0.503            0.539                                        
fabrizio          0.188            0.188                                        
claude           -0.624           -0.236                                        
herbert          -0.515            0.115                                        
helmut            0.600            0.103                                        
annette          -0.576           -0.576                                        
juergen           0.091           -0.297                                        
karl              1.000            0.552                                        
bernd             0.552            1.000                                        
                                                                                
                     Pairwise correlations in descending order                  
                                                                                
    0.806   claude           and herbert            Significantly positive      
    0.794   kai              and helmut             Significantly positive      
    0.697   kai              and karl               Significantly positive      
    0.673   wolfgang         and kai                Significantly positive      
    0.648   edgar            and helmut             Significantly positive      
    0.600   helmut           and karl               Significantly positive      
    0.588   kai              and edgar              Significantly positive      
    0.576   wolfgang         and juergen            Significantly positive      
    0.552   karl             and bernd              Not significant             
    0.539   edgar            and bernd              Not significant             
    0.503   edgar            and karl               Not significant             
    0.455   wolfgang         and karl               Not significant             
    0.406   wolfgang         and helmut             Not significant             
    0.394   kai              and juergen            Not significant             
    0.297   kai              and bernd              Not significant             
    0.261   helmut           and juergen            Not significant             
    0.188   fabrizio         and karl               Not significant             
    0.188   fabrizio         and bernd              Not significant             
    0.139   fabrizio         and herbert            Not significant             
    0.127   annette          and juergen            Not significant             
    0.127   claude           and annette            Not significant             
    0.115   wolfgang         and edgar              Not significant             
    0.115   herbert          and bernd              Not significant             
    0.103   fabrizio         and claude             Not significant             
    0.103   helmut           and bernd              Not significant             
    0.091   juergen          and Karl               Not significant             
    0.067   edgar            and fabrizio           Not significant             
    0.055   wolfgang         and bernd              Not significant             
    0.055   edgar            and annette            Not significant             
   -0.042   helmut           and annette            Not significant             
   -0.139   edgar            and juergen            Not significant             
   -0.152   fabrizio         and annette            Not significant             
   -0.176   kai              and annette            Not significant             
   -0.200   fabrizio         and helmut             Not significant             
   -0.200   herbert          and annette            Not significant             
   -0.212   herbert          and juergen            Not significant             
   -0.236   claude           and bernd              Not significant             
   -0.236   claude           and juergen            Not significant             
   -0.285   kai              and fabrizio           Not significant             
   -0.297   juergen          and bernd              Not significant             
   -0.345   wolfgang         and herbert            Not significant             
   -0.370   wolfgang         and fabrizio           Not significant             
   -0.418   wolfgang         and annette            Not significant             
   -0.515   herbert          and karl               Not significant             
   -0.576   annette          and bernd              Significantly negative      
   -0.576   annette          and karl               Significantly negative      
   -0.588   edgar            and herbert            Significantly negative      
   -0.624   claude           and karl               Significantly negative      
   -0.673   wolfgang         and claude             Significantly negative      
   -0.673   kai              and herbert            Significantly negative      
   -0.697   fabrizio         and juergen            Significantly negative      
   -0.721   edgar            and claude             Significantly negative      
   -0.794   kai              and claude             Significantly negative      
   -0.806   claude           and helmut             Significantly negative      
   -0.855   herbert          and helmut             Significantly negative      

Comments:

Bernd: The tasting was outstanding and hardly comparable to any other tasting I joined, because of its fantastic wines. Fixing the ranking was very difficult, but the Barolo Brunate from Roberto Voerzio had a wonderful taste, full of fruit, perfectly handled with wood, and with enough acid, which all together gives this wine power and character. I feel sorry for ranking the Giacosa so low, but it was very moody and the taste differed from good to strange, but not really bad.

Wolfgang: It was a wonderful selection of the piemont cru-wines, for me only two wines were really disappointing: Bruno Rocca’s Rabaja (problems with sulfur !!) and Borgogno’s Brunate (why must a wine smell like curd???).

Karl: All wines were wonderful and worth to spend a night with, the level of the single wines were very similar and of course very high. All bottles were opened 7 hours before the tasting and I guess it would have been easier to taste and to distinguish them if they would have had more time to breathe. I share the assessment of Bruno Rocca completely, although it reminds me of burned hair (not mine). I guess that it is not due to a sulphur problem but to very hard/strange toasted barriques. But - incredibly - some people like it (Annette, Claude, Herbert). As for the Roberto Voerzio: In my opinion there is no doubt that it was the best balanced wine, with lots of fruit and a very high density. I think also that the Voerzio was one of the sweetest wines of the tasting.

Helmut: Fine selection of wines from the Piedmont. However, from my point of view Voerzio and Saffirio should be ranked clearly above the average of the rest. They are perfectly balanced, elegant and their taste reminds me of Burgundy wines. Gaja and particularly Borgogno were disappointing. Rregarding the price-quality ratio we should have in mind that Rinaldi&Filgli presents the best performance.

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